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<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Joe,<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>I have been told by some structural
engineers that it is wind load, not seismic load that governs the structural
design in most parts of <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:State w:st="on">Kentucky</st1:State></st1:place>
(central and eastern). Have you done any design analysis on these? It would be interesting
to see the load comparisons.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Thanks.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'>Zhenming <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 color=navy face=Arial><span style='font-size:
10.0pt;font-family:Arial;color:navy'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<div>
<div class=MsoNormal align=center style='text-align:center'><font size=3
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:12.0pt'>
<hr size=2 width="100%" align=center tabindex=-1>
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<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=2 face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;
font-family:Tahoma;font-weight:bold'>From:</span></font></b><font size=2
face=Tahoma><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:Tahoma'> Joe Tomasello
[mailto:JT@ReavesFirm.com] <br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Sent:</span></b> Thursday, February 14, 2008
12:39 PM<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>To:</span></b> <st1:PersonName w:st="on">'Seth
Stein'</st1:PersonName>; WrightLa@usa.redcross.org<br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Cc:</span></b> <st1:PersonName w:st="on">Wang,
Zhenming</st1:PersonName>; <st1:PersonName w:st="on">ceus-earthquake-hazards@geohazards.usgs.gov</st1:PersonName>;
<st1:PersonName w:st="on">cfostel@conwal.com</st1:PersonName><br>
<b><span style='font-weight:bold'>Subject:</span></b> RE:
[CEUS-earthquake-hazards] no "right" answer </span></font><font
size=3><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
</div>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><font size=2
face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:11.0pt'>Seth, et al:<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'>This firm has been involved with recovery efforts of the tornado
strikes of February 5, 2006. The tornado damage shown in the attached is
perceived by the locals to be the primary day to day threat from natural
hazards. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'>The failure mode is rather simple; the wind lifts the roof deck and
buckles the joists, which in turn pulls inwardly on the top of the precast
panels causing them to fall (see Image 647 and 307). Evidence indicates
that the lateral force resistant system remained standing (see Image 313),
however a majority of the building collapsed. This design is pre-1997 NERHP,
but included seismic considerations. It’s unlikely that additional
seismic resistance required by 1997 NERHP would affect the outcome. <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'>What I’m suggesting is that contrary to the accepted convention
(more seismic is better), we think there can be a case made that seismic design
does not cure all the ills created by the various different natural disasters
as advertised by FEMA.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'>Image 647 – shows failure mode<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'>Image 313 – Shows seismic bracing<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'>Image 307 – Shows failed panels large warehouse<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>-----Original Message-----<br>
From: ceus-earthquake-hazards-bounces@geohazards.usgs.gov
[mailto:ceus-earthquake-hazards-bounces@geohazards.usgs.gov] On Behalf Of Seth
Stein<br>
Sent: Wednesday, February 13, 2008 7:58 PM<br>
To: WrightLa@usa.redcross.org<br>
Cc: zmwang@email.uky.edu; <st1:PersonName w:st="on">ceus-earthquake-hazards@geohazards.usgs.gov</st1:PersonName>;
<st1:PersonName w:st="on">cfostel@conwal.com</st1:PersonName><br>
Subject: Re: [CEUS-earthquake-hazards] no "right" answer<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>Both are problems, but in the <st1:country-region
w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">US</st1:place></st1:country-region> severe
weather kills about 500 people per year and earthquakes kill about 10. Another
way to look at this is that every 6 years severe weather has the same net
effect as the 1906 <st1:City w:st="on"><st1:place w:st="on">San Francisco</st1:place></st1:City>
earthquake.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>Seth Stein<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>William Deering Professor<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences 1850 Campus
Drive Northwestern University, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on">Evanston</st1:City>,
<st1:State w:st="on">IL</st1:State> <st1:PostalCode w:st="on">60208</st1:PostalCode></st1:place><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>(847) 491-5265 FAX: (847) 491-8060 E-MAIL: <a
href="mailto:seth@earth.northwestern.edu">seth@earth.northwestern.edu</a> <a
href="http://www.earth.northwestern.edu/people/seth">http://www.earth.northwestern.edu/people/seth</a><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>On Wed, 13 Feb 2008 <a
href="mailto:WrightLa@usa.redcross.org">WrightLa@usa.redcross.org</a> wrote:<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>> When earthquakes don't happen, tornadoes are a
bigger problem.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>> The recent loss of life due to tornadoes is
horribly tragic, and not <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>> to be belittled by any means, but the loss of
life that could be <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoPlainText><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span
style='font-size:10.5pt'>> caused by an 1811 quake in the NMSZ beggars the
imagination.<o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=2 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
11.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial;font-weight:bold'>Joseph Tomasello, PE</span></font></b><font
size=3><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><st1:Street w:st="on"><st1:address w:st="on"><b><font
size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;font-weight:
bold'>5880 Ridge Bend Rd.</span></font></b></st1:address></st1:Street><font
size=3><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><st1:place w:st="on"><st1:City w:st="on"><b><font size=3
face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;font-weight:bold'>Memphis</span></font></b></st1:City><b><font
size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:Arial;font-weight:
bold'>, <st1:State w:st="on">TN</st1:State> <st1:PostalCode w:st="on">38120</st1:PostalCode></span></font></b></st1:place><font
size=3><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><font size=3 face="Times New Roman"><span style='font-size:
12.0pt'> <o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial;font-weight:bold'>Phone:</span></font></b><font size=3><span
style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial;font-weight:bold'>(901) 761-2016 office</span></font></b><font
size=3><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial;font-weight:bold'>(901) 821-4968 direct</span></font></b><font
size=3><span style='font-size:12.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></font></p>
<p class=MsoNormal><b><font size=3 face=Arial><span style='font-size:12.0pt;
font-family:Arial;font-weight:bold'>(901) 412-8217 mobile</span></font></b><o:p></o:p></p>
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